Tunisia’s Food Security Snapshot reports improvements in 2025 cereal crops due to January rains, recovery in cereal production in 2024, below-average cereal import requirements anticipated for 2025, and a decline in food inflation during early 2025.
The Food Security Snapshot for Tunisia dated March 26, 2025, highlights significant improvements in the agricultural sector following abundant rainfall in January 2025, which positively impacted cereal crop conditions. While the 2025 winter cereal season began with dry conditions, the rains enhanced soil moisture, benefiting crop yields, which are expected to be above average if favorable conditions persist into May.
In 2024, Tunisia experienced a notable recovery in cereal production, with estimates around 1.5 million tonnes, nearly tripling the drought-affected output of the previous year. Although this figure remains approximately 6 percent below the five-year average, improved weather conditions enhanced crop growth in key regions.
For the marketing year 2024/25, Tunisia’s cereal import needs are expected to be below average at approximately 3.5 million tonnes. Wheat imports, which account for over half of the total cereal imports, are forecasted at about 2 million tonnes, slightly above historical averages, reflecting the rise in local wheat production from the previous harvest.
Food inflation in Tunisia has shown signs of easing, declining to approximately 7 percent by February 2025 compared to the same period the previous year. This decreased inflation rate represents a significant drop from a peak of 16 percent in May 2023, although certain food prices, particularly in bovine meat, fish, and poultry, have notably increased.
In conclusion, the food security outlook for Tunisia indicates a positive trend for 2025, supported by improved rainfall and recovery in cereal production. While import needs are forecasted at lower levels, food inflation appears to be stabilizing after reaching historical highs. However, continued monitoring of weather conditions will be essential to ensure the optimal yields and further stabilization of food prices.
Original Source: reliefweb.int
