Fears of renewed conflict in Tigray arise from internal TPLF divisions and heightened tensions with Eritrea, exacerbated by socio-economic hardships. Clashes have erupted following political feuds, and calls for urgent resolution have been voiced to avert a proxy war. The situation remains fragile, necessitating immediate attention to prevent further devastation.
Ethiopia is currently facing heightened fears of renewed conflict, particularly in the Tigray region, following a peace agreement that ended the Tigray war over two years ago. Internal divisions within the Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF) and escalating tensions with Eritrea are contributing to a precarious situation. With various socio-economic pressures, including long fuel lines and soaring food prices, residents, still affected by the devastating 2020-2022 conflict, are experiencing rising anxiety regarding the possibility of renewed violence.
Tensions escalated on March 11 in Mekele, where clashes occurred after the interim administration dismissed senior officers from the Tigray Defense Forces (TDF). Shortly thereafter, the TDF assumed control over government institutions and the local radio station and appointed a new mayor after seizing Adigrat, Tigray’s second-largest city. These events signify deepening political rivalries amid ongoing grievances surrounding the implementation of the November 2022 peace deal.
Internal splits within the TPLF, stemming from unfulfilled peace deal terms such as the disarmament of the TDF and the return of displaced individuals, have intensified the crisis. Historian Gérard Prunier asserts that Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed’s reluctance to fully endorse the peace agreement is motivated by his desire to marginalize the Tigrayan population. Moreover, a leadership dispute between Getachew Reda, Tigray’s interim administrator, and TPLF president Debretsion Gebremichael further complicates the political landscape.
Compounding the situation is the growing tension between Ethiopia and Eritrea. Reports suggest that Eritrean President Isaias Afwerki may be supporting TDF factions opposed to the Ethiopian central government, possibly driven by aspirations to reshape Ethiopia’s political environment. Gen. Tsadkan Gebretensae, a prominent Tigrayan strategist, has voiced urgent concerns, warning of the potential for conflict between Ethiopia and Eritrea. He emphasizes the need for immediate interventions to avert proxy warfare that could further devastate Tigray.
In conclusion, Ethiopia stands at a critical juncture as internal divisions within the TPLF and rising Eritrean tensions threaten to precipitate renewed conflict in Tigray. The socio-economic distress faced by the population, coupled with delays in implementing peace agreements, heightens the risks of violence. The call for urgent action underscores the necessity for political resolution and stability to prevent further suffering in the region.
Original Source: international.la-croix.com
