The February 4, 2025, Tropical Cyclone Activity Report highlights ongoing tropical cyclones 11S (Faida), 13S (Vince), 14S (Taliah), and 15P, which are affecting the Pacific and Indian Oceans. The report indicates varying intensity levels, potential landfall impacts, and forecasts for each cyclone. Furthermore, Invest 92P has a high potential for development due to favorable environmental conditions.
The Pacific Disaster Center (PDC) reported on February 4, 2025, regarding ongoing tropical cyclone activity across the Pacific and Indian Oceans. Currently, four tropical cyclones are of particular note: 11S (Faida), located southeast of Madagascar; 13S (Vince), positioned east of Mauritius; 14S (Taliah), found east-southeast of the Cocos Islands; and 15P, situated southwest of Suva, Fiji. Both the Northeast and Central Pacific Oceans are reporting no active tropical cyclones, with regular reporting set to resume soon.
Tropical Cyclone 11S (Faida) has been issued a final warning, with sustained winds of 25 knots and gusts up to 35 knots. The structure of the cyclone is compromised due to interactions with western terrain, although the cyclone is forecasted to make landfall in northeastern Madagascar shortly, then travel through the Mozambique Channel. The cyclone may intensify to 45 knots as it recovers over water after land interaction.
Cyclone 13S (Vince) has sustained winds of 95 knots with gusts reaching 115 knots and is also anticipated to weaken upon making landfall in Madagascar due to topographical influences. However, it may strengthen again over water if it can maintain its structure. Meanwhile, Cyclone 14S (Taliah) is showing sustained winds at 80 knots, with its eye feature suggesting some strengthening potential, despite the presence of dry air and wind shear affecting it.
Cyclone 15P has been issued a final warning, with sustained winds of 35 knots and gusts of up to 45 knots, though conditions for development appear less favorable due to increasing wind shear and dry air. An additional area of concern is Invest 92P, currently developing west-northwest of Noumea, New Caledonia, with favorable conditions suggesting a high potential for further strengthening into a significant tropical cyclone within 24 hours.
In summary, the current tropical cyclone activity in the Pacific and Indian Oceans includes four notable cyclones with varied prognoses. While some are expected to weaken upon landfall, others may strengthen over water, presenting potential risks to affected areas. Continuous monitoring and updates will be essential as these systems evolve further.
Original Source: www.pdc.org
