Alexander Lukashenko has been confirmed president of Belarus for the seventh term, amidst allegations of electoral fraud and suppression of opposition. Key figures remain imprisoned or exiled, with his administration altering laws to eliminate viable opponents. Despite apparent public support, skepticism towards election outcomes is prevalent, particularly among pro-democracy advocates. The political landscape remains fraught as Lukashenko aims to solidify power while facing international backlash and potential diplomatic complications with the West.
On January 26, Alexander Lukashenko was confirmed as the president of Belarus for a seventh consecutive term, purportedly securing 87% of the vote. The election, occurring under strict control, faced widespread dismissal from Western leaders as a fraud. For instance, German Foreign Minister Annalena Baerbock asserted that the Belarusian populace faced no real electoral choice. Polish Foreign Minister Radosław Sikorski commented on the significant incarceration of opposition figures, questioning the legitimacy of the vote.
The predictability of Lukashenko’s reelection was stark, with many opposition leaders either imprisoned or in exile. Notably, a law was altered to prevent major opposition figure Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya, not currently imprisoned, from contesting. She fled Belarus following the unjust imprisonment of her husband, Sergei Tsikhanouski, who received an 18-year sentence for alleged crimes against the state. Tsikhanouskaya herself, tried in absentia, was sentenced to 15 years for multiple charges, including high treason.
A Chatham House survey at the end of 2024 revealed that around one-third of Belarusians supported Lukashenko, often citing stability and the absence of war as pivotal factors. However, among pro-democracy supporters, a staggering 77% believed the election results were predetermined. Despite a facade of public support, many citizens are skeptical of the electoral integrity, suggesting widespread disenchantment with the lack of true democratic choice.
Since taking office after the first democratic election in 1994, Lukashenko has maintained a tight grip on Belarus, often employing authoritarian measures to suppress opposition. Following the controversial 2020 elections, where allegations of widespread fraud surfaced, many opponents have been jailed or forced into exile, including prominent leaders like Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya. The international community has since responded by denouncing the regime, although Lukashenko’s administration continues to resist calls for reform. In response to ongoing pressure from the West, Lukashenko has occasionally released political prisoners but remains closely allied with Russia, complicating any potential diplomatic resolutions. The political climate remains tense as the next election approaches, with Lukashenko looking to affirm his control as he ages. The opposition’s efforts continue despite significant setbacks, with leaders like Tsikhanouskaya attempting to organize from abroad.
In conclusion, Alexander Lukashenko continues to consolidate his power in Belarus amidst widespread condemnation from the international community. By restricting opposition candidates and maintaining a significant number of political prisoners, he has effectively rendered the electoral process a mere formality. While some signs indicate a desire to engage with the West, his alignment with Russia limits any genuine reform. The situation remains precarious as the next election approaches in 2030.
Original Source: theconversation.com
