Tropical storm Chido has strengthened into a severe storm and is approaching Madagascar, projected to bring strong winds and rain by December 13. Forecasts indicate potential cyclone status with sustained winds possibly reaching 138 km/h. Uncertainty remains regarding the storm’s intensity and precise trajectory as the cyclone season begins to intensify.
A tropical storm named Chido has formed in the Southwest Indian Ocean, notably intensifying to a severe tropical storm with sustained winds of 95 kilometers per hour. Currently located approximately 500 kilometers east-southeast of Mauritius, it is projected to continue its westerly trajectory towards Madagascar, potentially affecting the island by Friday, December 13. Forecasters anticipate further strengthening of Chido, which may reach tropical cyclone status with winds up to 138 kilometers per hour. Despite this, there remains uncertainty regarding the storm’s exact strength and trajectory at approach.
Meteorological analyses suggest that lower wind shear in the upper atmosphere could facilitate Chido’s intensification. However, the Joint Typhoon Warning Center posits that wind shear may limit the storm’s strength. As Madagascar braces for possible impacts, predictions indicate gale force winds and elevated wave heights. The cyclone season is just beginning, with expectations for further storms as ocean temperatures rise.
Chido marks the third named storm this season, with previous unnamed systems indicating an active cyclone season and heightened potential for additional tropical storm developments in the upcoming months, particularly during the Southern Hemisphere summer.
The Southwest Indian Ocean cyclone season typically runs from November 15 to April 30, with a majority of storms forming between December and March when sea surface temperatures are at their highest. Tropical storms like Chido derive strength from warm ocean waters, making this period particularly conducive for cyclone activity. Chido’s development follows previous storms such as Ancha and Bheki, indicating a potentially intense cyclone season ahead as this region experiences several systems consecutively.
In summary, tropical storm Chido is currently advancing towards Madagascar, with increasing chances of intensifying into a tropical cyclone before making landfall. While predictions show possible strong winds and rainfall, significant variability in expected strength remains due to atmospheric conditions. The onset of the cyclone season suggests further storms may develop in the coming weeks, with warm ocean waters fueling these systems and prompting close monitoring by meteorological agencies.
Original Source: earthsky.org
